22-09-2022, 12:15 PM
As far as Taupo goes, there is a risk of eruption at any time. It could be very severe and put a couple of metres of ash over the whole North Island, or could be minor. We won't know until it happens and the chance of it happening within any one century is less than other risks that could be just as bad.
The alpine fault has a 75% chance of an 8+ earthquake within 50 years.
25% chance of a major rupture of the Hikurangi zone in 50 years. That's offshore, so tsunami risk as well as the shaking.
Volcanically there's Taranaki and the Auckland field, as well as White Island to worry about. Either we worry, or get on with life.
The alpine fault has a 75% chance of an 8+ earthquake within 50 years.
25% chance of a major rupture of the Hikurangi zone in 50 years. That's offshore, so tsunami risk as well as the shaking.
Volcanically there's Taranaki and the Auckland field, as well as White Island to worry about. Either we worry, or get on with life.