Once more it's that time of the year and this interesting discussion will be updated as is done every year at this time.
It's possible to go back through the years and see what was expected then for the future.
It's a substantial read to go through all the years so probably better just to concentrate on this year.
Bruce Sterling is the man to watch: "Years ago <bruces> said something to the effect of "it's not global
warming, it's global weirding"" [BTW, roots of "weird" mean "to control fate"]
Also from Bruce:
"I'd like to list some of the tech phenomena I spent a lot of time
with last decade, that this decade doesn't seem to respect much, or
to care much about. Tech oligarchs still like to handwave about
them, but they're met with sullen public resistance.
Metaverses -- Facebook Horizon Worlds, virtual reality, augmented
reality
There doesn't seem to be a compelling use-case for any of these.
People mock Zuckerberg's efforts here for a lot of different
reasons, but I don't think Meta's Metaverse it would be a success in
modern cultural circumstances even if it was technically brilliant
and a sensual delight to strap on your head.
Web3, NFTs
It seems pretty clear now that this impressive craze was not so much
"blockchain art" as "lockdown art." It's what art people do
culturally when they're not allowed out of the house. One of the
most entertaining cultural freakouts I ever personally witnessed,
but it was convulsive and in many ways quite sad."
Here's another interesting quote from someone repling:
"One tech that was only mildly splashy but succeeded big has been
"collaborative filtering" which is what they called it at the MIT
Media Lab, where it was invented. "If you like this, and others who
like it also like these other things, then odds are that you too
will like them." I was there when it was demonstrated to Jeff Bezos
who saw right away its potential. It's been bedrock to how Amazon
functions for decades now. It will likely never go away."
https://people.well.com/conf/inkwell.vue...age01.html
It's possible to go back through the years and see what was expected then for the future.
It's a substantial read to go through all the years so probably better just to concentrate on this year.
Bruce Sterling is the man to watch: "Years ago <bruces> said something to the effect of "it's not global
warming, it's global weirding"" [BTW, roots of "weird" mean "to control fate"]
Also from Bruce:
"I'd like to list some of the tech phenomena I spent a lot of time
with last decade, that this decade doesn't seem to respect much, or
to care much about. Tech oligarchs still like to handwave about
them, but they're met with sullen public resistance.
Metaverses -- Facebook Horizon Worlds, virtual reality, augmented
reality
There doesn't seem to be a compelling use-case for any of these.
People mock Zuckerberg's efforts here for a lot of different
reasons, but I don't think Meta's Metaverse it would be a success in
modern cultural circumstances even if it was technically brilliant
and a sensual delight to strap on your head.
Web3, NFTs
It seems pretty clear now that this impressive craze was not so much
"blockchain art" as "lockdown art." It's what art people do
culturally when they're not allowed out of the house. One of the
most entertaining cultural freakouts I ever personally witnessed,
but it was convulsive and in many ways quite sad."
Here's another interesting quote from someone repling:
"One tech that was only mildly splashy but succeeded big has been
"collaborative filtering" which is what they called it at the MIT
Media Lab, where it was invented. "If you like this, and others who
like it also like these other things, then odds are that you too
will like them." I was there when it was demonstrated to Jeff Bezos
who saw right away its potential. It's been bedrock to how Amazon
functions for decades now. It will likely never go away."
https://people.well.com/conf/inkwell.vue...age01.html
It's not the least charm of a theory that it is refutable. The hundred-times-refuted theory of "free will" owes its persistence to this charm alone; some one is always appearing who feels himself strong enough to refute it - Friedrich Nietzsche