12-07-2023, 07:44 PM
(12-07-2023, 03:28 PM)harm_less Wrote: I do wonder what communication method these polling companies use to source their numbers from.
Landlines are no longer fit for purpose as they are increasingly the realm of the older and more well off members of our society.
Written surveys submitted by post definitely isn't going to include the younger voters as they've long since written off snail mail.
Cellphone is problematic and probably not useful as there is no reliable way to filter the poll in terms of location/electorate.
Over recent elections the results increasingly differ widely from what the pollsters predictions have been, so placing any reliance on any of the media related pre-election polls seems a leap of faith. As a politician a few years back said "the only poll that counts is the one on voting day".
Yes, all of this. And another aspect is that these days many of us don't answer mobile calls from unknown numbers because we are wary of scammers and other nuisance calls. This skews the data in favour of older people and computer-illiterate people, who tend to inhabit the same mindset.