01-04-2024, 02:40 PM
(01-04-2024, 01:38 PM)harm_less Wrote: I've found this website to be accurate in predicting aurora australis in the short term. A rise in the Kp number and negative Bz averages is what we're after.
Thanks I will check that out.
Apparently the Kp number is not so significant for aurora in the southern hemisphere for whatever reason, but is still a good indicator.
Just been on spaceweather.com and it appears to have been downgraded, but there might still be a chance. My friend in Bluff says the sky has had a bit of a pinkish hue to it, so might still be visible.
"SOLAR RADIATION STORM WATCH--CANCELED: Departing sunspot AR3615 erupted on March 30th (2116 UT), producing an M9.4-class solar flare only percentage points below category X. At first it seemed that the explosion would cause a solar radiation storm. AR3615 is magnetically well-connected to Earth via the Parker Spiral. Debris from the blast should have spiraled back to our planet. However, that didn't happen, so the radiation storm watch is canceled."