23-05-2025, 11:47 AM
The reason I think they'll be a one term government is that National, and particularly Luxon, think they can be "all things to all people" resulting in them effectively being nothing to no-one. Government debt is spiraling out of control, which makes them completely unpalatable to anyone vaguely financially literate, but at the same time they manage to give off strong "austerity government" vibes which turns off anyone left-leaning.