07-12-2021, 12:06 PM
(07-12-2021, 11:29 AM)king1 Wrote:We have had 12,000 cases and 44 deaths. So google says. So if we have say 40 per 10,000 cases going forward thats 400/100,000. So it depends on how well the vaccines work, how long the immune response lasts, how quickly it spreads, how many variants arrive... lots of stuff. I wonder what happens with people with long covid that die going forward. How they count them in.. or not.(07-12-2021, 11:21 AM)Oldfellah Wrote: Im too old to educate myself thanks Olive, I leave it up to people like you.only time will provide a definitive answer to that one @Oldfellah. It could go either way, but if there are 1000s of deaths/year we know he was right and the modelling work done was correctly - if not well a lot of lives have been saved, so a win win all round I would say...
Modelling prepared for the Ardern government by Shaun Hendy suggests that New Zealand could see up to 7000 COVID-19 deaths a year even with a high proportion of the population jabbed.
