Covid Experts

[king1]

You need to educate yourself about epidemiology and computer modelling. They are not just guessing.   Epidemiology is not an exact science because of the many variables and unknowns.  The actual experts are not making predictions, they are telling us what are the most likely outcomes in various sets of circumstances, and the Cabinet has the weighty task of deciding what is the safest way forward in a world in which unknowns sometimes dominate and people's lives are at stake.  

I have enormous respect and admiration for Professor Baker.   In the middle of a lethal global pandemic "fun at parties" is a pretty shallow insult.

Im too old to educate myself thanks Olive, I leave it up to people like you.
Modelling prepared for the Ardern government by Shaun Hendy suggests that New Zealand could see up to 7000 COVID-19 deaths a year even with a high proportion of the population jabbed. 

only time will provide a definitive answer to that one @Oldfellah.   It could go either way, but if there are 1000s of deaths/year we know he was right and the modelling work done was correctly - if not well a lot of lives have been saved, so a win win all round I would say...